Abnormal Brackets: 2012 edition
- March 13th, 2012
Another year, another edition of March Madness. Abnormal Returns is once again hosting a bracket contest over at Yahoo! Sports. This year we are giving away prize packages for the top three finishers.
- First place: three recently published investment books including a copy of Abnormal Returns: Winning Strategies from the Frontlines of the Investment Blogosphere (when published).
- Second place: two books including a copy of our new book.
- Third place: a copy of our new book.
It seems like every year there is more data available on the teams and match-ups for the tournament. It might even be worth it for your company to embrace March Madness. Below are some links we thought worth checking out before filling out your picks. Good luck and don’t forget to sign up!
Data and analysis
David Letscher has his own prediction model.
The LRMC Model maintained by a handful of professors at Georgia Tech is also worth a look.
Wayne Winston at mathletics shows Kentucky and Ohio State as the top two teams.
Win probabilities laid out for every team. (Wages of Wins Journal)
Update: A very cool visualization of Final Four probabilities. (The Power Rank)
How to pick your bracket like a hedge fund manager. (Slate)
Pick your bracket like your stocks: stick with the blue chips. (Daily Ticker)
Using game theory to pick upsets. (Aaron Brown)
Stop trying to pick upsets. (The Atlantic)
When in doubt just pick teams blindfolded. (WSJ)
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- Saturday links: penny stock punishment
- Friday links: personalizing the market
- Podcast Friday: ballooning fees
- Blue chips: big and trapped
- Thursday links: psychological drivers
- Wednesday links: creative quants
- Tuesday links: gimmicky guidance
- Monday links: global market turbulence
- Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns
- Saturday links: the halo effect