The predictions market has the risk of a recession in 2008 at over 50%. (Bespoke Investment Group)

“The Baltic Dry Exchange index, which measures shipping costs for bulk commodities, is at a record high…” (

Goldman Sachs (GS) is trying to clarify the source of their earnings. (breakingviews/

A 130/30 index fund? (All About Alpha)

Barry Ritholtz has a chapter from Richard Peterson’s well-reviewed Inside the Investor’s Brain: The Power of Mind Over Money. (Big Picture)

On the book front, Adam Warner and David Merkel both recommend Vitaliy Katsenelson’s new book entitled Active Value Investing. (Daily Options Report & Aleph Blog)

Do we need a “Capital Markets Safety Board“? (

A bull market like no other. (Bespoke Investment Group)

Conditions necessary for a turn in the home builders are a long way off. (MSN Marketwatch)

No one is free of guilt in the mortgage market mess. (DealBook)

Airplane leasing is rapidly becoming a sector unto itself. (

What the heck is going on in the wheat futures market? (Infectious Greed)

Is Henry Blodget getting a “free ride” from the financial media? (

The lines between home and business technology are blurring. (

Predicting politics is an exercise in futility.” (

George Will with a profile of economist Austan Goolsbee. (

Felix Salmon does us one better and rounds up the blogosphere’s view on Radiohead “giving away” its new album. (Market Movers)

The Sports Economist on Bloomberg Radio. (Sports Economist)

A sign of the coming apocalypse: Cramer ring tones! (Deal Journal)

Do you have questions and/or comments for Abnormal Returns? Please feel free to drop us a line with your thoughts.

This content, which contains security-related opinions and/or information, is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon in any manner as professional advice, or an endorsement of any practices, products or services. There can be no guarantees or assurances that the views expressed here will be applicable for any particular facts or circumstances, and should not be relied upon in any manner. You should consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax, and other related matters concerning any investment.

The commentary in this “post” (including any related blog, podcasts, videos, and social media) reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of the Ritholtz Wealth Management employees providing such comments, and should not be regarded the views of Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC. or its respective affiliates or as a description of advisory services provided by Ritholtz Wealth Management or performance returns of any Ritholtz Wealth Management Investments client.

References to any securities or digital assets, or performance data, are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others.

Please see disclosures here.

Please see the Terms & Conditions page for a full disclaimer.