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Quote of the day

Nate Silver, “That’s where having a more humble attitude about what you can accomplish and what you can’t is important. Just because a model is not going to be very precise or accurate doesn’t mean that therefore you should trust your gut instinct after a couple of whiskeys and assume it’s going to be very much better.”  (HBR)

Chart of the day

CEF_0913

A look at some undervalued closed-end funds, including the Central Fund of Canada ($CEF).  (Morningstar)

Strategy

Is online-only investment management a blind alley?  (WSJ)

A look inside the pink sheets.  (Turnkey Analyst)

Why retail investors should read Simon Lack’s Bonds Are Not Forever: The Crisis Facing Fixed Income Investors.  (Reading the Markets)

Companies

Why investors who hate Apple ($AAPL) are wrong.  (Vitaily Katsenelson)

Blackberry ($BBRY) joins the long line of failed mobile phone makers.  (WSJ, AllThingsD)

Why Applied Materials ($AMAT) is merging with Tokyo Electron.  (GigaOM)

Finance

Hedge funds are using FOIA requests to capture alpha.  (WSJ)

Oaktree ($OAK) is souring on the single-family housing market.  (HedgeWorld)

The deal for Blackberry is more tenuous than it looks.  (Dealbook, FT Alphaville)

Chrysler is coming public (again).  (WSJ, Dealbook)

Why the commercial real estate crash never came.  (Term Sheet)

Another sign that the mortgage refi boom is over.  (MoneyBeat, Quartz)

Twitter

Twitter is going to list on the NYSE (or not).  (TheStreet, NetNet)

Twitter is an “old media darling.”  (HBR)

Twitter need to build its “war chest” to compete with Facebook ($FB).  (LATimes)

Crowdfunding

AngelList is opening up the world of angel investing.  (Pando Daily)

The JOBS Act is a big, big deal.  (Quartz)

Should you be a crowdfunding “guinea pig“?  (Felix Salmon)

Crowdfunding is here to stay whether you like it or not.  (Howard Lindzon)

ETFs

What is an index?  (research puzzle pix)

Investors are warming to target date bond ETFs.  (IndexUniverse)

Global

Londoners are very confident their properties will appreciate.  (FT Alphaville, Slate)

China just bought 5% of the Ukraine.  (Quartz)

Germany is headed in the right direction.  (Bonddad Blog)

Economy

Case-Shiller shows that this summer was a hot period for home prices.  (Calculated Risk, ibid)

QE is pushing future returns into the present.  (Pragmatic Capitalism)

More jobs are at-risk of automation than commonly thought.  (The Conversation)

The possibilities of autonomous vehicles is stunning.  (Free exchange)

Earlier on Abnormal Returns

What you may have missed in our Monday linkfest.  (Abnormal Returns)

Mixed media

Be careful how you label yourself financially.  (Bucks Blog)

Are smartphones making us less impulsive?  (Priceonomics Blog)

Has Burger King cracked the code for lower fat french fries?  (Daniel Gross)

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