Book insights: Ten commandments for aspiring Superforecasters. Insights from Philip Tetlock’s Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.  (Farnam Street)

Quote of the Day

"Making forecasts isn’t a skill like shooting free throws where you simply listen to people with better track records."

(Eddy Elfenbein)

Chart of the Day

The yield on the 2 year Treasury is now well over 1.0%